50 Years of Information Technology Advances
by Dick Friedman
April 4, 2008
The
word “revolution” is appropriate to describe the way Information Technology
(IT) has impacted businesses, organizations and consumers around the globe
during the past 50 years.
The
word “revolution” is appropriate to describe the way Information Technology
(IT) has impacted businesses, organizations and consumers around the globe
during the past 50 years. When Supply
House Times was first published, few distributors in this
industry had real computers; for that matter, not many companies in any
industry had one.
As Supply House Times grew and became the
standard of this industry, the unstoppable tide of advances in IT resulted in a
tremendous increase in the productivity of billions of people around the world,
including people working in PHCP, HVACR and PVF supply houses. IT has helped
all kinds of businesses function with less inventory and, sometimes, fewer
people. “Do not fold, spindle or mutilate” has been replaced by cell phones
that can be used to access the Internet and download movies that demonstrate
how new products function.
Many
important advances were never well known, or have long been forgotten. This article
briefly describes many of the half-century of advances in IT that made the
benefits possible and describes some of the new technologies and trends that
should become commonplace in the future.
Looking Back
1. Punched cards and
sorters. These have been around since the 1890 Census.
But it wasn’t until the 1950s that the cards became the source of data that was
literally fed into mainframe computers. And the results of early computing
often took the form of computer-punched cards — such as checks issued by the
federal government. Early computers had no internal storage capabilities, so
the cards were also the storage media — and relative to today, didn’t store
much data.
2. Programmable card processor or “collator.” This handled punched
cards. It was “programmed” by plugging each end of a wire into different
receptacles on the machine. Actually, several wires were needed. This enabled
the collator to eject punched cards containing certain information. The cards
were then placed in a printing device that printed the information on each
card. The very largest supply houses used punched cards and collators.
3. Programmable computer. The start of the
information age truly began in 1946 with the first general purpose electronic
computer that could really be programmed. Called ENIAC, it used radio vacuum
tubes (17,468) and weighed 30 tons. It was “programmed” by setting a series of
permanent switches (and some wires) — no “software.” Data was entered via
punched cards, which were also used for the output. There was no internal
storage capability. Compared to a collator, the ENIAC was much more flexible
(handling complex formulas) and much, much faster. (Allegedly, the term “bug”
comes from one of the engineers observing an insect getting fried when it flew
into the mass of hot tubes.)
4.
Commercial computer. Although programmable
computers were manufactured by several firms, all of those machines were
designed for scientific and engineering purposes, not general business use.
That changed in 1949 when the manufacturers designed machines that could be
programmed by the buyer/lessee for any purpose.
5.
Magnetic drum memory. The use of punched cards
as the source of data and programs changed when magnetic drums were developed
to temporarily store the programs and the data (that was read from punched
cards). Magnetic storage greatly reduced the time to do calculations.
6.
“Core” memory. Although a program had to
be read in each time it was used, the program instructions were stored on
hand-wired “cores” — doughnut-shaped pieces of iron, strung much like beads on
hand-soldered wires. A “frame” of core was as large as a car door, but the use
of core greatly reduced processing time.
7.
Printers attached directly to computers.
This made it unnecessary to load decks of punched
cards into card printers, which most of the time meant that it was unnecessary
for a computer to punch cards. A huge time-saver.
8.
Tape replaces punched cards. The use of punched cards
required massive amounts of storage space, and the reading and punching
processes were slow — the limiting factors. Enter reel-to-reel tape, first
created for audio recordings. Each reel replaced thousands of cards, and tape
dramatically increased computer productivity.
9. The mainframe computer industry. Until the mid-1950s,
only a few companies manufactured general purpose programmable commercial
computers. The mainframe industry began when some still-famous names started to
make computers: RCA, GE, Honeywell, Burroughs and Univac (actually the first
company to manufacture a general-purpose electronic computer). The rise of the
industry also involved the rise of the “priestly” class of computer programmers
(all software had to be custom-written) and machine operators. These computers
were kept in rooms with large glass viewing windows and were very, very
expensive to buy/lease and operate.
10. Integrated processing and memory circuits. Although vacuum
tubes had disappeared by the late-1950s, computers were still room-size because
the transistor-based circuits were still rather large and core memories were
still used — all still soldered by hand. Originally developed for the U.S.
space program, integrated processor and memory circuits dramatically reduced
the size, power consumption and heat output of computers. And, as almost all
technical developments do, they greatly reduced processing time and the
electric bill.
11. Operating system. The first commercial
computers could run only one program at a time. The use of a printer, card
puncher or tape for output was determined by throwing a switch or changing a
wire. IBM pioneered the concept of special control software that enabled a
computer to process several programs at the same time and allowed each program
to determine whether to use a printer/card-puncher/tape. That first operating
system (named “360/DOS” — no relationship to Microsoft’s MS-DOS) was the
great-grandfather of today’s Vista, Leopard, etc.
12. Service bureaus. Early commercial computers were
so expensive that only the largest distributors (or any other kind of business)
could afford one, and most machines were not used 24/7. Someone realized that
his company could rent spare time on its computer to other companies. Renters
had to bring their own decks of punched cards (program and data), but only
employees of the renter were allowed to load the cards, run the program, etc.
(Trade Service, a provider of pricing information to this industry, operated
one of the first service bureaus for supply houses.)
13. Magnetic disk drives. These drives
supplemented tape, then replaced it. Early hard-disk drives were removable and
stored a whopping 100,000 bytes. As technology advanced, removable drives were
replaced by fixed drives, and capacity soared to several million bytes per
drive. Some computers contained several drives. Disk drives reduced processing
time and the per-unit storage cost.
14. COBOL. Because ENIAC was
developed for engineering calculations (to determine the settings for aiming
large naval guns at moving targets), the first programming language was created
with formulas — not suited for printing documents. But businesses were buying
the mainframes and needed a business language. Of necessity, someone created
the “COmmon Business Oriented Language,” designed to handle the document
formatting needed by all kinds of businesses.
15.
Minicomputers. Starting in the late
1960s, the emergence of minicomputers drastically lowered the cost of data
processing. Companies such as Basic Four and Wang produced them along with IBM,
Honeywell, Hewlett Packard and several other companies whose names are lost to
history.
16.
Packaged software. Until the advent of
minicomputers, almost all of the programs used by computers were
custom-written, at a great cost in time and money (yet very tailored to a
company’s needs). Packaged software dramatically reduced the cost of getting
programs, which in combination with lower-cost minicomputers made data
processing affordable for many distributors. But the early packages were
general (often handling only accounting functions), not specific to any
industry.
17. Industry-specific packaged software. This was a natural
evolution of generalized software packages. But packages for distributors were
not the first to be developed — industries that processed huge volumes of data
were the first beneficiaries (e.g., banks). Packages were typically developed
by companies that did not sell hardware.
18.
Keyboards and cathode ray tubes. Most early minicomputers
used small-sized punched cards for entering data. The data was then stored on a
disk drive(s). CRTs and real-time operating systems resulted in “interactive
processing” — the instantaneous entry and processing of data, including
inquiries (e.g., how much of XYZ is in inventory?). Both employee productivity
and customer responsiveness increased.
19.
Remote data entry and printing. The invention of the modem
enabled branches to enter their data by dialing up the computer at headquarters
and keying in data live vs. mailing their paperwork to headquarters. Then
someone attached a teletype machine (phone-signal-driven typewriter) to a modem,
which enabled a computer to print reports at the branches with teletypes.
20.
Competition in telecommunications. Until an entrepreneur
successfully sued AT&T (the original one, that is), all data transmissions
had to take place on AT&T’s circuits. The court that allowed McGowan
Communications Inc. (MCI) to compete with AT&T opened the monopoly door
just a hair. That led to users being allowed to connect non-AT&T devices to
their phone systems (initially, modems and answering machines) and to more
competition in phone and data service, and ultimately to the breakup of Ma
Bell. Costs of voice and data communications plummeted.
21.
Bar codes. At first, bar codes were
used in industries selling in volume to consumers (e.g., supermarkets and drug
stores), then their use spread — slowly — to wholesale/industrial distribution.
Productivity in consumer industries soared and errors at distributors
dropped.
22.
VARs or computer re-sellers. These came about with the
development of minicomputers, which were priced too low for some manufacturers
to sell using their own sales forces. Initially, VARs sold only hardware and
brought in third parties to provide software. Later, some VARs became “turnkey”
providing both hardware and software.
23. High-speed
processing chips integrated into circuit cards. This innovation
resulted in computers not much larger than bread boxes. They contained enough
power to enable the Apple and Windows operating systems to work fast enough to
be practical. The decrease in the purchase cost helped
increase sales of minicomputers.
24.
Database replaces “flat” files. Until the database was
developed, related pieces of data (e.g., customer name and address) could be
stored in different files, which made extracts for reports and real-time
inquiries quite slow. With a database, related pieces of data were linked
together via their addresses, which greatly reduced the time for extracts and
inquiries. Again, employee productivity and customer service
increased.
25. Personal computer. Technically, the
Apple was not the first personal computer. A company called Kramer sold a kit
that an aficionado could assemble into a PC. And Radio Shack sold an assembled
system that used audio cassettes for storing data and programs. Personal
computers used circuitry that was very different from mainframes and
minicomputers and could be made for a tiny fraction of the cost of their big
brothers.
26. Personal software. The first personal
computers came with software for playing games, not for any real computing.
Lotus 123, a spreadsheet program, started an explosion of inexpensive packaged
software for PCs, including word processing and other functions that helped
businesses boost productivity.
27. Microsoft. Legend has it that
Gates & company sold the first PC operating
system (PC-DOS), which another company owned, to IBM before buying it from the
owner, which they did using the money from IBM. Now PCs other than Apples could
be taken seriously.
28.
FAX machines. Although fax machines were
around before WWII, it was not until the late 1980s that they could be
manufactured cheap enough to sell in volume. For distributors, POs could be
delivered in minutes rather than days, thereby reducing the time it took to get
inventory delivered. The cost of doing business decreased while customer
service increased.
29.
Electronic Data Interchange. The EDI format promised to
reduce the time it takes to get inventory and the effort needed to ensure that
the right items were obtained —
if manufacturers and distributors used the same business transaction formats.
As a step toward people-free purchasing, EDI has gained wide but not universal
acceptance.
30.
Standardized data. This is a step beyond EDI,
because EDI does not involve standard item codes. Few segments of
wholesale/industrial distribution have developed standard item codes and
descriptions, and within those that have, adoption is minimal. Distributors of
consumer products have used data standards for years.
31.
Local Area Network. LAN allowed computer users
to share common data and common programs, thereby reducing cost, and more
important, eliminating duplicate data, which sooner or later didn’t agree with
each other. The first LANs involved wiring terminals and printers to the
computer involved. Today’s LANs are wireless, which avoids large wiring
costs.
32.
Inexpensive printers. Early PCs used printers
that contained a “daisywheel” — a plastic wheel with letters, numbers, etc.,
embossed at the tips of the petals. The wheel turned until the needed character
was in position and a hammer struck the petal. This was vastly cheaper than
printers used with minicomputers, but so slow. Print speeds increased with each
new generation of printing technology: dot matrix, inkjet, laser. Laser
printing was the first technology fast enough and cheap enough to allow
replacing expensive, multi-part preprinted forms with plain paper.
33. Removable storage media. Floppy discs were first
used by several brands of minicomputers, but it was the PC that made the
5-1/4-inch floppy world famous. It was inexpensive, but did not store very
much, was slow and wore out. The 3-1/2-inch floppy was invented to store more
and work faster, but it wore out too and was the last removable media to use
magnetic oxide. Compact discs, DVDs and now USB jump drives (which look like
disposable plastic lighters) store a lot more data, work much faster and don’t
wear out.
34.
Laptops. Actually, the first
“laptop” was termed a “luggable” because of its weight and suitcase size. The
first computer made by Compaq, it used 5-1/4-inch floppy discs and had a 6-inch
diagonal green screen. Batteries were not included because the machine had to
be plugged in.
35. Back-up devices. When removable hard
drives were replaced by those that couldn’t be removed, the ability to store
data off-site disappeared. Fortunately, reel-to-reel tape was still being used
and became the medium for off-site storage. But reels required night shift
operators. Enter the tape cartridge/cassette, cousin to the audio cassette.
Load several into a carousel, set the system for overnight recording, remove
the cassettes in the morning and take them to a vault.
36.
Voice mail. This computer system
technology has eliminated most switchboard operators and ensured that messages
reach the intended recipients. Directed voice mail allows the caller to select
a specific department or person, thereby saving time for everyone
involved.
37.
PC-based servers. Even though PCs became
faster every 18 months or so, users kept pushing PCs to their limits. A PC had
to do everything: Handle e-mail, provide Web access, print, access the
database. To boost performance without having to buy new PCs every year and a
half, multiple PCs were connected together and each PC was used for one
dedicated function, e.g., handle all the printers. Systems worked faster and
costs were kept in check.
38. Cell phones. The first mobile
phone was called “the brick” because it looked and weighed like one, cost
several thousand dollars and had to either be wired into a car or used with a
large battery in a bag (“the bag phone.”). But the brick, an analog device,
broke the telephone umbilical cord forever and turned dead time into productive
time.
39.
Fiber optics. These devices wired the
world with super high-speed connections, which have enabled the computer
terminals at branches of supply houses to function as fast as the terminals at
headquarters. They also enabled the instant authorization of customers’ credit
card payments. The high capacity and widespread use of digital circuits also
made possible the transmission of digitized voice calls over the Internet
(VOIP), which greatly reduces the cost of talking.
40.
World Wide Web. The Internet was actually
created in the 1950s for use by U.S. and allied government agencies. More and
more commercial companies attached their computers to it in the 1970s and ’80s.
But using the WWW was like programming a computer. The availability of
point-and-click software and the invention of the browser enabled anyone
anywhere to participate in e-mail, post information, search attached computers
for information and set up a Web site (which is data on one or more
computers).
41. E-commerce. This is the
computer-to-computer transaction of business, typically involving a PC
communicating with a Web site. E-commerce can be inquiry-only or can involve
inquiries, placing orders and paying. The Web sites that are E-commerce sites
evolved from early Web sites that simply listed items for sale and required a
phone call or FAX to buy something. The growth of both high-speed transmission
circuits and PC use fostered the evolution from information-only to
all-electronic business. E-commerce will have as great or greater an impact on
business as the invention of the computer. Some industries have died and others
will — new industries have been born and the birth rate will grow.
42.
Global Positioning Satellites. GPS systems allow supply
house management to know the whereabouts of each truck and where each driver
has been. With this equipment, drivers and outside salespeople can easily find
unfamiliar destinations. A GPS system “tells” them how to get to a specified
address or place.
43.
Flat-panel LCD monitor. More LCD monitors than
CRTs are now manufactured — replacing the bulky, heavy CRTs with space-saving
screens that also are easier on the eyes.
44.
WiFi and WiMax. These terms refer to
methods of accessing the Internet wirelessly. A laptop or desktop PC
communicates wirelessly with a nearby “router” that is connected to the
Internet through wiring. WiFi and WiMax are typically found in public places
but can be found in private venues. They are more robust than a wireless LAN.
WiFi was the first method developed, so it has less range and throughput than
Wi-Max, its successor (which has a range measured in miles). Both increase the
productivity of information-using people who spend a lot of time on the
go.
45. Cell computers. These combination
digital cell phones and computers allow users to participate in
e-mail on the go, browse the Web, do word processing and transmit data to other
devices and the Internet. They mostly use cell phone services, but some can
also use WiFi or WiMax.
Future Trends
46. Solid state “hard
drives.” These aren’t drives
at all. Like memory chips, they contain no moving parts and so should last
indefinitely and cost less than mechanical drives. They are already available
on premium laptops, and will become standard on all computers.
47.
RFID chips replace printed bar codes.
RFID is not a misspelling of RF (as in bar code
reading). These are chips that emit a signal when “interrogated” by a reading
device. Each chip can store lots of information specific to the item on which
it is affixed (e.g., expiration date), and that information can be updated. A
reading device can be located dozens of feet away, even on the other side of a
concrete wall. These chips save time and money in ways that bar codes
can’t.
48.
Supply Chain Management. SCM will dramatically
alter business relationships. SCM refers to electronically linking
manufacturers’ and distributors’ computers so that the computers exchange
information in order to plan and execute production and product shipment. No
people need apply for any jobs. In addition to reducing labor costs, SCM should
reduce the amount of inventory in the pipeline while getting products to
distributors faster.
49.
The plot to take away distributors’ computers.
This is gaining momentum at Microsoft and Google.
Instead of a distributor owning a computer and licensing the software that runs
on it, service companies (ASPs) would own both the hardware and software — just
like the service bureaus of 40-50 years ago. The distributor’s terminals would
be connected via high-speed circuits, and the distributor would pay only for the
hardware and software resources used. No IT staff is needed. The ASP concept
could significantly reduce costs.
50. Software support moves overseas. It’s called
“offshoring.” Most people have encountered it when they call about a credit
card or cable TV or medical claim problem. Few distributors have encountered
it, but they will. The high-speed circuits that permit cheap phone calls and
access to distributors’ computers have enabled very low-wage information
workers abroad to do exactly what support people in the U.S. have been doing.
In addition to keeping costs down, offshoring enables 24/7 support at no extra
cost.
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